Tag

Budget Deficit

US Daily Cash Deficit 5/22/2014

By | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Deficit for Thursday 5/22/2014 was 4.3B bringing the May 2014 deficit through 22 days to $94B with 5 business days remaining in the month.

2014-05-22USDD

Revenues make up a little ground as we caught up on those customs/excise taxes discussed yesterday with a solid $2B YOY gain…we are now just $700M under last year, so I would expect us to end the month up, but it’s not looking like it will be by much.

US Daily Cash Deficit 5/21/2014

By | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Deficit for Wednesday 5/21/2014 was $7.7B bringing the May 2014 deficit through 21 days to $90B with just 6 business days remaining.

2014-05-21 USDD

We see revenues again take a baby step backwards, but this time it is probably the timing of customs/excise taxes…we’ll probably get a $1.5B bump in the next day or two that catches us back up in that category at least. Other than that, and our other outstanding timing issues…this month looks remarkably similar to last year.

US Daily Cash Deficit 5/20/2014

By | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Deficit for Tuesday 5/20/2014 was $6.7B bringing the May 2014 deficit through 20 days to $82B with 7 business days remaining. 2014-05-20 USDD

It was a fairly typical Tuesday…low revenues and average outlays. Revenues were actually down about $600M…not terrible, but not in the right direction. Looking back a few weeks to my May 2014 deficit forecast of $133B….I’d say we are still pretty much on track to end up pretty close to that. We will continue to see the deficit grow moderately over the next week until next Friday 5/30…when we will probably see a $30B+ deficit primarily driven by outlays due June 1 being pulled into May by the timing of the weekend. The same thing happened last May, so we still end up with two roughly comparable months.

US Daily Cash Deficit 5/19/2014

By | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Surplus for Monday 5/19/2014 was $5.8B bringing the May 2014 deficit through 19 days to $76B.

2014-05-19 USDD

Revenues continue to make gains…we are now at $-2B with 8 business days remaining. Last year May revenues came in at $215B, so if we want to get to +5%, we’d need to get to +11B by the end of the month….or a little over +$1B per day gains, which definitely looks possible…we’ll have to wait and see though. Outlays are on track to end the month down $10B or so overall…primarily to there being one less business day….we’ll take it I guess.

US Daily Cash Deficit 5/16/2014

By | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Surplus for Friday 5/16/2014 was $7.3B bringing the May 2014 deficit through 16 days to $81B.

2014-05-16 USDD

It was a really good day for revenue…we see a YOY gain of about $8B primarily on withheld taxes. I don’t fully understand it…maybe a YOY timing change, but we’ll take it….a $4B hole at mid month is a lot less daunting than yesterdays $12B YOY revenue shortfall…a few more of these and we’re back on track.