copernicus – Page 42 – US DAILY DEFICIT

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May 28
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## USily Cash Deficit 5/23/2014

By copernicus | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Deficit for Friday 5/23/2014 was $3.0B bringing the May 2014 Deficit to $97B through 23 days.

We see small YOY revenue gains…bringing 2014 to just -$454M…essentially even with four remaining business days. As we know…anything can happen, but it is starting to look like revenue growth is going to be under 5% for the second month in a row. If we see a few more months like this…it might safe to say the 15 month revenue surge of 1/2013 to 3/2014 is over….might…

May 24
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## US Daily Cash Deficit 5/22/2014

By copernicus | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Deficit for Thursday 5/22/2014 was 4.3B bringing the May 2014 deficit through 22 days to $94B with 5 business days remaining in the month.

Revenues make up a little ground as we caught up on those customs/excise taxes discussed yesterday with a solid $2B YOY gain…we are now just $700M under last year, so I would expect us to end the month up, but it’s not looking like it will be by much.

May 22
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## US Daily Cash Deficit 5/21/2014

By copernicus | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Deficit for Wednesday 5/21/2014 was $7.7B bringing the May 2014 deficit through 21 days to $90B with just 6 business days remaining.

We see revenues again take a baby step backwards, but this time it is probably the timing of customs/excise taxes…we’ll probably get a $1.5B bump in the next day or two that catches us back up in that category at least. Other than that, and our other outstanding timing issues…this month looks remarkably similar to last year.

May 21
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## US Daily Cash Deficit 5/20/2014

By copernicus | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Deficit for Tuesday 5/20/2014 was $6.7B bringing the May 2014 deficit through 20 days to $82B with 7 business days remaining.

It was a fairly typical Tuesday…low revenues and average outlays. Revenues were actually down about $600M…not terrible, but not in the right direction. Looking back a few weeks to my May 2014 deficit forecast of $133B….I’d say we are still pretty much on track to end up pretty close to that. We will continue to see the deficit grow moderately over the next week until next Friday 5/30…when we will probably see a $30B+ deficit primarily driven by outlays due June 1 being pulled into May by the timing of the weekend. The same thing happened last May, so we still end up with two roughly comparable months.

May 20
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## US Daily Cash Deficit 5/19/2014

By copernicus | Daily Deficit

The US Daily Cash Surplus for Monday 5/19/2014 was $5.8B bringing the May 2014 deficit through 19 days to $76B.

Revenues continue to make gains…we are now at $-2B with 8 business days remaining. Last year May revenues came in at $215B, so if we want to get to +5%, we’d need to get to +11B by the end of the month….or a little over +$1B per day gains, which definitely looks possible…we’ll have to wait and see though. Outlays are on track to end the month down $10B or so overall…primarily to there being one less business day….we’ll take it I guess.

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